Taxes Are Headed Higher – Why You Shouldn’t Worry | May 1, 2021

Taxes Are Headed Higher – Why You Shouldn’t Worry Past tax increases have NOT been associated with slower economic growth or a weaker stock market. The effects of infrastructure spending will serve as an economic offset to tax increases. The final result is expected to be watered down form Biden’s aspirational proposal. Even the slimmest […]
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Staying Focused on the Long-Term | April 24, 2021

Staying Focused on the Long-Term The past few weeks have seen one blockbuster economic report after another. From the 916,000 jobs that were added in March, to retail sales jumping 9.8% month-over-month, these are some of the best economic numbers we could see in a lifetime. At the same time, much of this was anticipated due […]
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Markets Are Fickle – Bank of America Fund Manager Survey | April 17, 2021

Markets Are Fickle – BofA Fund Manager Survey Perceived risks are shifting away from interest rates and inflation. The latest concern is ‘Peak Economic Growth’ implying that things can’t get much better. When all the experts and forecasts agree – something else is going to happen. The time to re-balance portfolios is approaching. Last week […]
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Are Soaring Growth Estimates Already Priced In? | April 10, 2021

Are Soaring Growth Estimates Already Priced In? GDP Growth is expected to soar based on vaccination progress, consumer recovery and an easy comparison with last year. With a fresh run of stimulus checks delivered, or about to be delivered, and pandemic fatigue rampant, it isn’t hard to imagine at least a mini-boom over the next […]
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Economy: Full Steam Ahead | April 3, 2021

Economy: Full Steam Ahead Unemployment remains high, but continuing claims remain in a downtrend. GDP is not back to pre-pandemic trendline, but early indicators say we are getting close. After the massive GDP decline last year, we should expect well above trendline growth this year as long as the vaccines work their magic. Investors remain […]
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Stocks Remain A Prisoner of Interest Rates | March 27, 2021

Stocks Remain A Prisoner of Interest Rates The stock market is following the bond market like a puppy. Rates down? Buy growth stocks. Rates up? Buy reflation stocks. U.S. growth estimates are rising, but they are falling in other developed markets. Unless something changes, rates are probably going nowhere. The economic experience in the U.S. […]
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Can the Infrastructure Lure finally Catch Some Funding? | March 20, 2021

Can the Infrastructure Lure finally Catch Some Funding? Infrastructure should be an easy bipartisan issue. How we pay for it is a big sticking point. Getting a bill passed will not be easy. There are few issues that have been discussed as consistently as infrastructure, but with no meaningful result. Most recently, infrastructure was a […]
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