When Will They Ever Learn? | September 25, 2021

When Will They Ever Learn? The title is a line from Pete Seeger’s old folk song “Where have all The Flowers Gone?”, which has been recorded by many artists over the years. Whether we speak of war and peace, as the song does, or economies, it is a cyclical world. The past is typically prologue. […]
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Asset Class Return Projections | July 3, 2021

Asset Class Return Projections The higher asset prices rise, the lower the expected return on an asset is. That sounds counter intuitive, but if assets rise to their true value, then the higher the price goes, the less upside there is left, i.e., expected returns are lower. This concept is important as many asset prices […]
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Can China Reverse the Current Inflation Trend? | May 29, 2021

Can China Reverse the Current Inflation Trend? Although supply chain disruptions are clearly a contributing factor to current inflation, China’s influence on inflation should not be discounted. Prices are still significantly higher, but have recently fallen, coinciding with Chinese authorities cracking down on commodity speculation. The recent correction does NOT mean we can stop worrying […]
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Georgia Produces a Blue Ripple | January 9, 2021

Georgia Produces a Blue Ripple The Democrats have won both Senate seats which substantially changes the mathematics in Washington. The Senate is now a 50-50 split, with VP-Elect Harris the tie braking vote, but this is certainly not a carte blanche for Democrats. Much of the legislation listed below will require 60 Senate votes for […]
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