Coasting Down the Mountain | October 8, 2022

Coasting Down the Mountain While you probably don’t read the financial news every day, if you did, I suspect that by this point you would be surmising that the Fed is a bunch of bumbling idiots. I’m here to tell you that they are not. They are incredibly bright individuals that probably have too much […]
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CNBC Worldwide Exchange Interview | September 30, 2022

Palumbo: We’re likely going to see a profits recession in this current market environment. Please Click Here to listen to today’s interview with PWM’s CEO and CIO, Philip Palumbo, as he joins CNBC’s Worldwide Exchange to discuss the current market environment and the possibility of a profits recession in the coming year. Highlights and topics of discussion […]
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Sheltered from the Storm | September 24, 2022

Sheltered from the Storm The bear market rally in July and August had many people hopeful, but that rally has now disappeared and we are essentially back at the June lows on the S&P 500. All this has happened as the Fed has consistently raised interest rates to address inflation, which has sent the bond […]
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Move Along, Nothing to See Here | September 17, 2022

Move Along, Nothing to See Here Investors have been hanging on every word from the Federal Reserve for years as their policies have been the most consistent driver of markets, be it stocks, bonds, housing, private equity, etc. Some level of rate increases has been baked in by markets, but, of course, that level gyrates […]
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Good News is Good News is Bad News | August 13, 2022

Good News is Good News is Bad News A lower-than-expected CPI report for July (8.5% vs 8.7% expected) had markets rallying in expectation of interest rates quickly coming back. But stronger markets make the Fed’s job more difficult, potentially leading to more rate increases than expected. It is unlikely that would be received well by […]
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Even A Broken Clock is Right Twice a Day | May 7, 2022

Even A Broken Clock is Right Twice a Day While central bankers are very smart, they are far from infallible. Throughout the history of central banks, policy errors are common. The choice central banks are making now is between focusing on core inflation (excluding food and energy). This allows food and energy inflation to run […]
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