Coasting Down the Mountain While you probably don’t read the financial news every day, if you did, I suspect that by this point you would be surmising that the Fed is a bunch of bumbling idiots. I’m here to tell you that they are not. They are incredibly bright individuals that probably have too much […]
Even A Broken Clock is Right Twice a Day While central bankers are very smart, they are far from infallible. Throughout the history of central banks, policy errors are common. The choice central banks are making now is between focusing on core inflation (excluding food and energy). This allows food and energy inflation to run […]
Risks to Growth, Earnings, and Markets are all Skewed to the Downside The effects of the conflict in Ukraine are complex and far reaching. Armed conflicts always create first and second order effects (First order effects: actions have consequences. Second order effects: consequences have consequences.) Only in the fullness of time will these effects become […]
