Even A Broken Clock is Right Twice a Day | May 7, 2022

Even A Broken Clock is Right Twice a Day While central bankers are very smart, they are far from infallible. Throughout the history of central banks, policy errors are common. The choice central banks are making now is between focusing on core inflation (excluding food and energy). This allows food and energy inflation to run […]
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Often Wrong, Never in Doubt | March 19, 2022

Often Wrong, Never in Doubt Economic projections are rarely easy and are most difficult when most needed. The Fed is forecasting an economic ‘soft landing’ (they NEVER forecast a recession!). The reactive Fed is now behind the curve – that is, reacting late to the inflationary surge, but it expects economic growth to continue unabated. […]
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A Large Bubble in Search of a Large Pin | January 22, 2022

A Large Bubble in Search of a Large Pin We have been telling you for a long time that markets are expensive. This week, they got a little cheaper. Is it over? Yes and no. Markets don’t go down in straight lines and this market is very oversold on a short-term basis, so a rally […]
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It Gets Worse Before It Gets Better | January 15, 2022

It Gets Worse Before It Gets Better Sometimes Wall St. gets so involved in the details that it misses the forest for the trees. And then there are times when we are brought back to the simple basics and that happened this week in a webinar from DoubleLine Capital founder, Jeff Gundlach. Here is the […]
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