U-Turns

U-Turns For the last 18 months, single data points have regularly surprised the markets in both directions, inciting highly uncertain investors to project forward a “changed” economic outlook. This has led to rapid whipsaws of both bond and stock prices, and this past week was no exception. The CPI report triggered a substantial decline in […]
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Fare Thee Well

Fare Thee Well A couple of weeks ago, Wall St. lost one of its icons, Byron Wein, at the ripe age of 90. Byron had an illustrious career on Wall St., but is probably best remembered for is annual ’10 Surprises’. A surprise was defined as an event that the average investor would only assign […]
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Technically Speaking…. It Doesn’t Look Good

Technically Speaking…. It Doesn’t Look Good Over time, markets move based on fundamental factors; revenue growth, returns on capital, cash flow, and earnings. But in the short run, technical factors (i.e., chart reading) play a large role. We all experience the emotional roller coaster of markets to varying degrees. Technical analysis is an attempt to […]
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Week of Reflection

A Week of Reflection It has taken a week to process the unspeakable acts of last weekend. Despite the lessons of history, we are always shocked at man’s ability to be inhumane. We pray for and support the Jewish community and Israel. We pray for the many innocent victims of the past week and the […]
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Tale of the Tape

Tale of the Tape You have to be a very attentive student of the stock market to understand just how unusual this year has been. The year isn’t over yet, so much can change from now to the end of the year, but what has happened thus far is startling. If you read these pages […]
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Making Ends Meet

Making Ends Meet Many market pundits are predicting that inflation will stabilize at a higher rate than the 2% Fed target. The rationale is that as inflation comes down, the Fed does not want to force inflation to 2% and risk a bad recession. As a result, Inflation is more likely to level off around […]
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Promised Land

Promised Land It was quiet, too quiet. The lead up to this week’s Fed interest rate announcement was downright boring. After months and months of agita every time the Fed got together to talk about interest rates, this time there was little doubt about what would happen or what the Fed would say. The assumption […]
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