Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics

Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics A recession will either be one of the most anticipated to ever occur, or one of the most anticipated to not occur at all. At its core, the recession debate is all about jobs. If the job market stays strong, it’s not only very hard to have a recession, it’s […]
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One More For The Road

One More for the Road As we enter July, with Jay Powell singing a hawkish tune, we expect the market to be very focused on one question: Are interest rates going higher? The answer lies in the inflation data yet to be reported. If inflation fails to get better, then interest rates are likely heading […]
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Wherever You Go, There You Are

Wherever You Go, There You Are The market is expert at making prognosticators look foolish. Great Depression-era economist John Maynard Keynes, the primary architect of modern economics, once said “Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent”. It essentially means that the market has a mind of its own. It is more than […]
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It’s a Mad, Mad, Mad, Mad World

It’s a Mad, Mad, Mad, Mad World Our title this week is also the title of a 1963 comedy. The movie is about a group of motorists that witness a deadly accident. The drivers’ final words are the location of a hidden stash of money. The situation quickly devolves into a wild and hilarious free […]
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Implications of a Fracturing Global Economy

Implications of a Fracturing Global Economy Our comments each week typically revolve around shorter term issues but this week we want to spend some time thinking longer term, much longer term. The catalyst for this shift was a speech given this week by Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), which discusses the […]
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Gold is Money. Everything Else is Credit.

Gold is Money, Everything Else is Credit. Question of the week: If gold is an inflation hedge, why did it fail to perform well last year when inflation was rampant? And if inflation is receding now, why is gold now approaching new all-time highs? Bloomberg Markets Live produced an article this week answering that question; […]
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CNBC Worldwide Exchange Interview | March 27, 2023

Palumbo: The Fed is going to execute a crash landing | CNBC Worldwide Exchange Interview Phil Palumbo of Palumbo Wealth Management says with tighter lending conditions, it’s very difficult for the economy to keep puttering along without showing some cracks.   Palumbo Wealth Management (PWM) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered […]
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