How Long? How Bad? | June 18, 2022

How Long? How Bad? As we have stated numerous times, we are faced with a menu of bad options. After 20+ years of ever-increasing, Fed-induced, financial largesse, inflation has turned the tables and we face the inevitable reversal of that largesse. There are no good options. The Fed will remain optimistic to the end, but […]
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Canary in the Coal Mine? | April 9, 2022

Canary in the Coal Mine? Stories about trucker shortages remain common. Truckers move almost about 73% of all freight in the U.S. Anecdotal evidence suggests that demand for trucking services is rapidly waning. Are trucking companies the canary in the U.S. economic coal mine? Like most people that follow financial markets, we follow economic data […]
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The New Cold War | March 12, 2022

Short-Term Humanitarian Problem & Long-Term Economic Problem Hopes were raised, then dashed, and raised yet again this week as President Zelensky took NATO off the table for Ukraine and put a new negotiation on the table. The potential glitch appears to be the demand that ‘not one inch’ of Ukraine is lost (we’re unsure where […]
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An Alternative View of the World | December 11, 2021

An Alternative View of the World The consensus view on Wall Street is that the Fed is dovish and economic growth is robust and both will remain so. That view is supportive of additional stock market gains in 2022. We’ve been around long enough to know that the consensus never sees the market top coming. […]
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Economic Growth Weakens While Inflation Rises | September 18, 2021

Economic Growth Weakens While Inflation Rises Why may we see economic growth continue to weaken in the coming months? Delta Variant upsurge causes consumers to pair back spending Unemployment benefits ending Hurricane Ida effects Looming government shutdown Why may inflation continue to rise? Material shortages Labor shortages Supply chain delays In our view, we believe […]
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Take a Test Drive… | August 21, 2021

Take a Test Drive… As much as we hate dealing with car salespeople, we love the test drive. We imagine ourselves driving down the street waving to friends in our favorite, brand new car. No doubt, that’s fun, but in the end, it’s just a car. Maybe it’s time we started to feel the same […]
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