Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics

Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics A recession will either be one of the most anticipated to ever occur, or one of the most anticipated to not occur at all. At its core, the recession debate is all about jobs. If the job market stays strong, it’s not only very hard to have a recession, it’s […]
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One More For The Road

One More for the Road As we enter July, with Jay Powell singing a hawkish tune, we expect the market to be very focused on one question: Are interest rates going higher? The answer lies in the inflation data yet to be reported. If inflation fails to get better, then interest rates are likely heading […]
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Picks and Shovels

Picks and Shovels The 1848 discovery of gold at Sutter’s Mill in Coloma, California resulted in several hundred thousand prospectors rushing to strike it rich during the California Gold Rush. For most, the dream of riches remained just that, as most prospectors had little to show for their efforts. However, you did not have to […]
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Wherever You Go, There You Are

Wherever You Go, There You Are The market is expert at making prognosticators look foolish. Great Depression-era economist John Maynard Keynes, the primary architect of modern economics, once said “Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent”. It essentially means that the market has a mind of its own. It is more than […]
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Liquidity

Liquidity Liquidity is one of the most confusing words in finance. The fact that it has multiple meanings, depending on the topic at hand, certainly doesn’t help matters. While we prefer to avoid that word, this is one of those times when it is unavoidable. In this case, liquidity is the amount of money sloshing […]
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“There will be time enough for countin’ when the dealin’s done”

“There will be time enough for countin’ when the dealin’s done”1 Many people view the stock market as more gambling than investing, which is easy to understand as the market seems to constantly have unpredictable gyrations both up and down. If you want to gamble on the stock market, you certainly can, and many people […]
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It’s a Mad, Mad, Mad, Mad World

It’s a Mad, Mad, Mad, Mad World Our title this week is also the title of a 1963 comedy. The movie is about a group of motorists that witness a deadly accident. The drivers’ final words are the location of a hidden stash of money. The situation quickly devolves into a wild and hilarious free […]
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