Inflation on the Front Burner

Inflation on the Front Burner Fed Chair Warsh’s speech at Jackson Hole on Friday had a clear message: the Fed is not declaring victory on inflation, does not view the economy as broadly weak, and will not pre-announce its next move. If upcoming data do not demonstrate faster, durable progress toward 2% inflation, Warsh’s framework […]
READ POST

Back to the Future: The Quiet Revolution at the Fed

Back to the Future: The Quiet Revolution at the Fed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh advocates ending the decades of market-saving interventions and breaking the dependency on central bank rescues. He seeks to restore true price discovery by prioritizing long-term stability over short-term market noise, ultimately favoring reduced leverage and organic market cycles. The Warsh era […]
READ POST

Crude Awakening

Crude Awakening Market expectations shifted notably this week as interest rates fell and the link between bonds and oil prices—prevalent since the start of the Iran War—broke down. Since the start of the conflict, surging crude had kept traders on alert for renewed inflationary pressure and a more hawkish Federal Reserve. However, by the end […]
READ POST

Are the Bond Vigilantes Dead?

Are the Bond Vigilantes Dead? With all due respect to the Oracle (ORCL) mess this week, for us, the important news was in the bond market. The Fed rate cut announced Wednesday was a foregone conclusion by the time the week began. But somewhat contrary to logic, long-term bond rates were creeping higher. Were the […]
READ POST

The Penny Finally Succumbs to Inflation

Inflation Wins, The Penny Loses The old saying “It’s not worth a penny” implied that something was worthless. I guess even a penny isn’t worth a penny anymore. This week marked the end of an era when production of the penny (which costs four cents to make) ceased production permanently. The penny is still legal […]
READ POST

CNBC Interview | Should The FED Cut Rates in July?

Should The FED Cut Rates in July? | Philip Palumbo I was recently invited onto CNBC as a contributor to give my thoughts on if the FED will cut rates in July. Here was my response!   Palumbo Wealth Management (PWM) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective […]
READ POST